Top Football Ranking
Week 1 2019
Updated September 12, 2019
Home-field advantage is about 4 1/2 minutes of gametime. Model estimates are all based on end of the season ratings from 2018. As such, they might be expected to underperform. It looks like the home loss by Chicago may have skewed the home-field advantage estimate for the Sunday games. All but 1 game picks the Visitor, and the favorite-underdog split is 6-9. Color me suspicious that the Bears game result being the most recent heavily tilted estimates. There will be a lot of good information this week, i.e. Colts without QB luck.
| Thursday | MODEL | Pick / SCORE | MoneyLine | Point Spread | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | at Bears | Bears by 16.8 | 10-3 | Bears (-175) X -100 | Bears -3 (-110) X -100 | |
| Sunday | ||||||
| Rams | at Panthers | Rams by 4.8 | 30-27 | Rams (-130) ✔ +76.92 | Rams -2 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Titans | at Browns | Browns by 2 | 43-13 | Titans (+220) ✔ +220 | Titans +5.5 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Chiefs | at Jaguars | Chiefs by 11.9 | 40-26 | Chiefs (-175) ✔ +57.14 | Chiefs -3.5 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Ravens | at Dolphins | Ravens by 9.6 | 59-10 | Ravens (-330) ✔ +30.30 | Ravens -6.5 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Falcons | at Vikings | Vikings by 1.8 | 12-28 | Falcons (+175) X -100 | Falcons +4 (-110) X -100 | |
| Bills | at Jets | Bills by 0.4 | 17-16 | Bills (+125) ✔ +125 | Bills +2.5 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Redskins | at Eagles | Eagles by 9.4 | 27-32 | Redskins (+400) X -100 | No Bet at 10. 0 | |
| Colts | at Chargers | Chargers by 1.3 | 24-30 | Colts (+250) X -100 | Colts +6.5 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Bengals | at Seahawks | Seahawks by 7.2 | 20-21 | Bengals (+380) X -100 | Bengals +9.5 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Lions | at Cardinals | Lions by 6.4 | 27-27 | Lions (-145) 0 | Lions -2.5 (-110) X -100 | |
| Giants | at Cowboys | Cowboys by 5.8 | 17-35 | Giants (+280) X -100 | Giants +7 (-110) X -100 | |
| FortyNiners | at Buccaneers | Buccaneers by 2.8 | 31-17 | Buccaneers (-120) X -100 | Buccaneers -1 (-110) X -100 | |
| Steelers | at Patriots | Patriots by 3.8 | 3-33 | Steelers (+220) X -100 | Steelers +5.5 (-110) X -100 | |
| Monday | ||||||
| Texans | at Saints | Saints by 4.1 | 28-30 | Texans (+250) X -100 | Texans +7 (-110) ✔ +90.91 | |
| Broncos | at Raiders | Broncos by 1.9 | 16-24 | Broncos (-115) X -100 | Broncos -1 (110) X -100 | |
| PERFORMANCE | ||||||
| 5-10-1 | 8-7-1 | |||||
| TOTAL: -$490.64 | TOTAL: +27.28 | |||||
| /1600: -30.67% | /1500: +01.82% | |||||
No particular patterns
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