Top Football Ranking

Week 3 2019

Updated September 24, 2019

This will be a very good information week. Operating still half on last season's games, and only two weeks this season. This generally increases estimated variability and thus makes for more longshot bets, especially moneyline. Next week I think should be solid. Still, spread bets are so far positive, and moneyline bets are maybe starting to turn around from excessive variability estimates. Still some longshot moneylines this week.

Thursday MODEL Pick / SCORE MoneyLine Point Spread

Titans at Jaguars Titans by 4.9 07-20 X Titans -130 X -$100 Titans -2 X -$100

Sunday

Falcons at Colts Colts by 8.7 24-27 ✔ Colts -125 ✔ +$80 Colts -1.5 ✔ +$90.91

Ravens at Chiefs Chiefs by 2.4 28-33 ✔ Ravens +250 X -$100 Ravens +6.5 ✔ +$90.91

Bengals at Bills Bills by 5.5 17-21 ✔ Bengals +220 X -$100 No Bet at 6. 0

Broncos at Packers Packers by 13.4 16-27 ✔ Packers -380 ✔ +$26.32 Packers -7.5 ✔ +$90.91

Lions at Eagles Lions by 3.3 27-24 ✔ Lions +280 ✔ +$280 Lions +6.5 ✔ +$90.91

Dolphins at Cowboys Cowboys by 8.6 06-31 ✔ Dolphins +1400 X -$100 Dolphins +21.5 X -$100

Jets at Patriots Patriots by 16.1 14-30 ✔ Jets +1500 X -$100 Jets +23 ✔ +$90.91

Raiders at Vikings Vikings by 6.7 14-34 ✔ Raiders +320 X -$100 Raiders +9 X -$100

Panthers at Cardinals Cardinals by 5.2 38-20 X Cardinals -135 X -$100 Cardinals -2.5 X -$100

Giants at Buccaneers Buccaneers by 7.5 32-31 X No Bet. 0 Buccaneers -6.5 X -$100

Texans at Chargers Chargers by 3.2 27-20 X Texans +165 ✔ +$165 No bet at 3.5 0

Saints at Seahawks Seahawks by 2.9 33-27 X Saints +185 ✔ +$185 Saints +4.0 ✔ +$90.91

Steelers at FortyNiners FortyNiners by 8.5 20-24 ✔ FortyNiners -280 ✔ +$35.71 FortyNiners -6.5 X -$100

Rams at Browns Rams by 2.4 20-13 ✔ Browns +145 X -$100 No bet at 3.0 0

Monday

Bears at Redskins Bears by 2.5 31-15 ✔ Redskins +175 X -$100 Redskins +4.0 X -$100

PERFORMANCE

Week 3: 11-5-0      6-9-1 6-7-3

Overall: 33-14-1      17-28-3 20-19-9

     70.21%

     37.77%

51.28%

Values this week:      -$127.97 -$154.54

Total Values:      -$667.18 -$81.80

     /4600: -14.50% /3900: -02.10%

Thursday		MODEL	Pick / SCORE	MoneyLine	Point Spread
Titans	at Jaguars	Titans by 4.9	07-20 X	Titans -130 X -$100	Titans -2 X -$100
Sunday
Falcons	at Colts	Colts by 8.7	24-27 ✔	Colts -125 ✔ +$80	Colts -1.5 ✔ +$90.91
Ravens	at Chiefs	Chiefs by 2.4	28-33 ✔	Ravens +250 X -$100	Ravens +6.5 ✔ +$90.91
Bengals	at Bills	Bills by 5.5	17-21 ✔	Bengals +220 X -$100	No Bet at 6. 0
Broncos	at Packers	Packers by 13.4	16-27 ✔	Packers -380 ✔ +$26.32	Packers -7.5 ✔ +$90.91
Lions	at Eagles	Lions by 3.3	27-24 ✔	Lions +280 ✔ +$280	Lions +6.5 ✔ +$90.91
Dolphins	at Cowboys	Cowboys by 8.6	06-31 ✔	Dolphins +1400 X -$100	Dolphins +21.5 X -$100
Jets	at Patriots	Patriots by 16.1	14-30 ✔	Jets +1500 X -$100	Jets +23 ✔ +$90.91
Raiders	at Vikings	Vikings by 6.7	14-34 ✔	Raiders +320 X -$100	Raiders +9 X -$100
Panthers	at Cardinals	Cardinals by 5.2	38-20 X	Cardinals -135 X -$100	Cardinals -2.5 X -$100
Giants	at Buccaneers	Buccaneers by 7.5	32-31 X	No Bet. 0	Buccaneers -6.5 X -$100
Texans	at Chargers	Chargers by 3.2	27-20 X	Texans +165 ✔ +$165	No bet at 3.5 0
Saints	at Seahawks	Seahawks by 2.9	33-27 X	Saints +185 ✔ +$185	Saints +4.0 ✔ +$90.91
Steelers	at FortyNiners	FortyNiners by 8.5	20-24 ✔	FortyNiners -280 ✔ +$35.71	FortyNiners -6.5 X -$100
Rams	at Browns	Rams by 2.4	20-13 ✔	Browns +145 X -$100	No bet at 3.0 0
Monday
Bears	at Redskins	Bears by 2.5	31-15 ✔	Redskins +175 X -$100	Redskins +4.0 X -$100
				PERFORMANCE
			Week 3: 11-5-0	6-9-1	6-7-3
			Overall: 33-14-1	17-28-3	20-19-9
			70.21%	37.77%	51.28%
			Values this week:	-$127.97	-$154.54
			Total Values:	-$667.18	-$81.80
				/4600: -14.50%	/3900: -02.10%