Top Football Ranking

Week 4 2019

Updated October 1, 2019

First week with only this season's games in forecast. Hopefully WinLine bets will start to pick up accuracy. Spread bets are a lot on the money, 6 no bets. This gives confidence on the convergence. The WinLine however is alarming in the continued picking of awful underdogs. There are also four bets in which the model is against the odds. Except for the Packers, every WinLine bet is the underdog. So far this season, essentially no big-underdog bets have won. Very scary, could be very good or very bad. This is a risky week. At least we will know more next week.

Thursday MODEL Pick / SCORE MoneyLine Point Spread

Eagles at Packers Packers by 10.9 34-27 X Packers -200 X-$100 Packers -4 X-$100

Sunday

Panthers at Texans Texans by 6.0 16-10 X No Bet. 0 Texans -4.5 X -$100

Browns at Ravens Ravens by 3.9 40-25 X Browns +260 ✔ +$260 Browns +6.5 ✔ +$90.91

Chiefs at Lions Chiefs by 6.3 34-30 ✔ Lions +260 X -$100 No bet at 6.5. 0

Chargers at Dolphins Chargers by 7.5 30-10 ✔ Dolphins +750 X -$100 Dolphins +15.5 X -$100

Patriots at Bills Patriots by 7.0 16-10 ✔ Bills +280 X -$100 No Bet at 7.0. 0

Raiders at Colts Colts by 4.2 31-24 X Raiders +260 ✔ +$260 Raiders +6.5 ✔ +$90.91

Titans at Falcons Titans by 1.4 24-10 ✔ Titans +180 ✔ +$180 Titans +4 ✔ +$90.91

Redskins at Giants Giants by 2.2 03-24 ✔ No bet. 0 No bet at 2.5. 0

Seahawks at Cardinals Seahawks by 4.9 27-10 ✔ Cardinals +200 X -$100 No bet at 5.0 0

Buccaneers at Rams Rams by 8.9 54-40 X Buccaneers +360 ✔ +$360 No bet at 9.5 0

Jaguars at Broncos Jaguars by 5.8 26-24 ✔ Jaguars +150 ✔ +$150 Jaguars +3 ✔ +$90.91

Vikings at Bears Vikings by 3.3 06-16 X Vikings +110 X -$100 Vikings +2 X -$100

Cowboys at Saints Saints by 0.2 10-12 ✔ Saints +125 ✔ +$125 Saints +2.5 ✔ +$90.91

Monday

Bengals at Steelers Steelers by 3.4 03-27 ✔ Bengals +175 X -$100 No bet at 4.0. 0

PERFORMANCE

Week 4: 9-6-0      6-7-2 5-4-6

Overall: 42-20-1      23-35-5 25-23-15

     67.74%

     39.66%

52.08%

Values this week:      +$635.00 +$54.55

Total Values:      -$32.18 -$27.25

     /5900: -00.55% /4800: -00.57%

Thursday		MODEL	Pick / SCORE	MoneyLine	Point Spread
Eagles	at Packers	Packers by 10.9	34-27 X	Packers -200 X-$100	Packers -4 X-$100
Sunday
Panthers	at Texans	Texans by 6.0	16-10 X	No Bet. 0	Texans -4.5 X -$100
Browns	at Ravens	Ravens by 3.9	40-25 X	Browns +260 ✔ +$260	Browns +6.5 ✔ +$90.91
Chiefs	at Lions	Chiefs by 6.3	34-30 ✔	Lions +260 X -$100	No bet at 6.5. 0
Chargers	at Dolphins	Chargers by 7.5	30-10 ✔	Dolphins +750 X -$100	Dolphins +15.5 X -$100
Patriots	at Bills	Patriots by 7.0	16-10 ✔	Bills +280 X -$100	No Bet at 7.0. 0
Raiders	at Colts	Colts by 4.2	31-24 X	Raiders +260 ✔ +$260	Raiders +6.5 ✔ +$90.91
Titans	at Falcons	Titans by 1.4	24-10 ✔	Titans +180 ✔ +$180	Titans +4 ✔ +$90.91
Redskins	at Giants	Giants by 2.2	03-24 ✔	No bet. 0	No bet at 2.5. 0
Seahawks	at Cardinals	Seahawks by 4.9	27-10 ✔	Cardinals +200 X -$100	No bet at 5.0 0
Buccaneers	at Rams	Rams by 8.9	54-40 X	Buccaneers +360 ✔ +$360	No bet at 9.5 0
Jaguars	at Broncos	Jaguars by 5.8	26-24 ✔	Jaguars +150 ✔ +$150	Jaguars +3 ✔ +$90.91
Vikings	at Bears	Vikings by 3.3	06-16 X	Vikings +110 X -$100	Vikings +2 X -$100
Cowboys	at Saints	Saints by 0.2	10-12 ✔	Saints +125 ✔ +$125	Saints +2.5 ✔ +$90.91
Monday
Bengals	at Steelers	Steelers by 3.4	03-27 ✔	Bengals +175 X -$100	No bet at 4.0. 0
				PERFORMANCE
			Week 4: 9-6-0	6-7-2	5-4-6
			Overall: 42-20-1	23-35-5	25-23-15
			67.74%	39.66%	52.08%
			Values this week:	+$635.00	+$54.55
			Total Values:	-$32.18	-$27.25
				/5900: -00.55%	/4800: -00.57%