Top Football Ranking

Week 6 2019

Updated October 15, 2019

Could be a good week but 4 'Against the Odds'. I don't know why the model is obsessed with long shot Moneyline bets. Late included second model results change shown by *, slightly outperformed. Good week.

Thursday MODEL SCORE / Pick MoneyLine Point Spread X ✔

Giants at Patriots Patriots by 10.7 14-35 ✔ Giants +850 X * -$100 Giants +17.0 X * -$100

Sunday

Panthers at Buccaneers Panthers by 1.6 37-26 ✔ No bet at -135 0 Buccaneers +2.5 X * -$100

Bengals at Ravens Ravens by 5.6 17-23 ✔ Bengals +450 X * -$100 Bengals +11.0 ✔ +$90.91

Seahawks at Browns Seahawks by 7.0 32-28 ✔ Seahawks -125 ✔ +$80 Seahawks -1.5 ✔ +$90.91

Saints at Jaguars Saints by 5.6 13-06 ✔ Saints +100 ✔ +$100 Saints +1 ✔ +$90.91

Texans at Chiefs Chiefs by 2.7 31-24 X Texans +185 ✔ * +$185 Texans +4.5 ✔ * +$90.91

Redskins at Dolphins Redskins by 0.7 17-16 ✔ Dolphins +160 X -$100 Dolphins +3.5 ✔ +$90.91

Eagles at Vikings Vikings by 0.3 20-38 ✔ Eagles +140 X -$100 Eagles +3.0 X -$100

Falcons at Cardinals Cardinals by 1.5 33-34 ✔ Cardinals +120 ✔ +$120 Cardinals +2.5 ✔ +$90.91

FortyNiners at Rams FortyNiners by 4.2 20-07 ✔ FortyNiners +155 ✔ +$155 FortyNiners +3.5 ✔ +$90.91

Titans at Broncos Broncos by 2.0 00-16 ✔ No bet at -140 * 0 No bet at -2.5 * 0

Cowboys at Jets Cowboys by 11.4 22-24 X Cowboys -370 X -$100 Cowboys -7.5 X -$100

Steelers at Chargers Steelers by 5.0 24-17 ✔ Steelers +250 ✔ +$250 Steelers +6.5 ✔ +$90.91

Monday

Lions at Packers Packers by 6.3 22-23 ✔ Packers -210 ✔ +$47.62 Packers -4.0 X -$100

PERFORMANCE

Week 6: 12-2-0      7-5-2 8-5-1

Overall: 64-27-1      36-47-9 42-33-17

     70.33%

     43.37%

56.00%

Values this week:      +$437.62 +$227.28

Total Values:      +$908.92 +$518.22

     /8400: +10.82% /7600: +06.82%

     p-value of >0: 0.2422 p-value of >0: 0.2622

Thursday		MODEL	SCORE / Pick	MoneyLine	Point Spread X ✔
Giants	at Patriots	Patriots by 10.7	14-35 ✔	Giants +850 X * -$100	Giants +17.0 X * -$100
Sunday
Panthers	at Buccaneers	Panthers by 1.6	37-26 ✔	No bet at -135 0	Buccaneers +2.5 X * -$100
Bengals	at Ravens	Ravens by 5.6	17-23 ✔	Bengals +450 X * -$100	Bengals +11.0 ✔ +$90.91
Seahawks	at Browns	Seahawks by 7.0	32-28 ✔	Seahawks -125 ✔ +$80	Seahawks -1.5 ✔ +$90.91
Saints	at Jaguars	Saints by 5.6	13-06 ✔	Saints +100 ✔ +$100	Saints +1 ✔ +$90.91
Texans	at Chiefs	Chiefs by 2.7	31-24 X	Texans +185 ✔ * +$185	Texans +4.5 ✔ * +$90.91
Redskins	at Dolphins	Redskins by 0.7	17-16 ✔	Dolphins +160 X -$100	Dolphins +3.5 ✔ +$90.91
Eagles	at Vikings	Vikings by 0.3	20-38 ✔	Eagles +140 X -$100	Eagles +3.0 X -$100
Falcons	at Cardinals	Cardinals by 1.5	33-34 ✔	Cardinals +120 ✔ +$120	Cardinals +2.5 ✔ +$90.91
FortyNiners	at Rams	FortyNiners by 4.2	20-07 ✔	FortyNiners +155 ✔ +$155	FortyNiners +3.5 ✔ +$90.91
Titans	at Broncos	Broncos by 2.0	00-16 ✔	No bet at -140 * 0	No bet at -2.5 * 0
Cowboys	at Jets	Cowboys by 11.4	22-24 X	Cowboys -370 X -$100	Cowboys -7.5 X -$100
Steelers	at Chargers	Steelers by 5.0	24-17 ✔	Steelers +250 ✔ +$250	Steelers +6.5 ✔ +$90.91
Monday
Lions	at Packers	Packers by 6.3	22-23 ✔	Packers -210 ✔ +$47.62	Packers -4.0 X -$100
				PERFORMANCE
			Week 6: 12-2-0	7-5-2	8-5-1
			Overall: 64-27-1	36-47-9	42-33-17
			70.33%	43.37%	56.00%
			Values this week:	+$437.62	+$227.28
			Total Values:	+$908.92	+$518.22
				/8400: +10.82%	/7600: +06.82%
				p-value of >0: 0.2422	p-value of >0: 0.2622